Bundled minting blocks


#1

Just wondered whether others have noticed that minting tend to be bundled on a single day/short period instead of widely spread. It can sometimes take days or more than a week to mint a single block in my wallet and suddenly two or even three very close together, sometimes even subsequent occur. Is this perhaps a built-in bias in the protocol or is it just sheer coincidence in my wallet?


#2

It would have to come down to the stake modifier, which as far as i understand samples bits from past blocks to assemble the entropy for your mint chance. It’s possible there’s a pattern, but i highly doubt it would be such that you could observe it so simply. While I’m not entirely certain, what you report is most likely coincidence and observer bias.


#3

Happy to accept that if no one else is reporting this.


#4

Yes it should just be coincidence and observer bias. Otherwise we would see the same instabilities on the blockchain itself.


#5

i’d say random and a little bit of pos difficulty. When the diff is low, aka less zeros needed, you have a higher chance to mint.
If anything, hash algoritmes are designed to have different output when even 1 bit of input is different. So having the first x digits of your hash to have zeros is a true find in itself.